September 2022 Covid-19 is declining in the Developed World.

Total Reported Cases for September       World    14,489,592           Australia    196,829

Total Reported Deaths for September     World    52,117                   Australia              1,250

Australia followed most of the developed world and removed almost all Covid-19 restrictions through the month. The last restrictions, Quarantine, are expected to be remove in early October. Continue reading

Number of Views :733
Posted in Australia in Covid Times | Leave a comment

August 2022 Covid-19 declines globally and within Australia.

In August there were almost 25 million new Covid-19 cases world wide, with 71,663 reported deaths due to Covid-19. In Australia those figures were almost 600,000 new cases and just over 2,000 deaths reported. South Australia had just over 42 thousand new cases and 103 reported deaths due to Covid-19.

My data shows that the world wide incidence of Reported Covid-19 cases has returned to levels last seen in in April/May 2021, the trend in the data is still down.

In Australia my data shows a steep decline in reported Covid-19 cases since the start of August, with case numbers now similar to December 2021.

The rate of hospitalisation has returned to levels last seen in July.

The ratio of people in ICU compared to those hospitalised has started to decrease from around 3.5% to 3.0%.

The death rate is still technically going up, but it is forming a wedge shape and indications are that it will be in decline in a week or so. Up

Highlights of the Covid news for the month

NZ fully opened its borders

USA Congress members visit Taiwan stirring anger and military aggression from China

Boris Johnson says he will resign as UK PM when his party have elected a new leader to replace him.

US President Joe Biden tested positive to Covid-19 twice during the month, 2 separate infections.

Olivia Newton-John died of breast cancer

Australia’s Federal Covid-19 App has been officially scrapped, and labelled a waste of money and resources.

Monkey Pox has become a “thing” in Australia and all states are receiving limited vaccines for it.

Concerns are rising that the next wave of Covid-19 in Australia will be in November/December.

The Seekers lead singer, Judith Durham has died.

A Sydney Uni researcher has determined the source of the Novel Corona Virus that sparked the Covid-19 Pandemic to within a few meters in the Wuhan Wet Market, further dispelling the theory it came from a Chinese Lab.

Warnings emerge of a new Langya Virus in China.

China continues to enforce its zero tolerance policy to Covid-19, locking down numerous cities during the month.

Australia passed 10 million cases of Covid-19

The world passed 600 million cases of Covid-19

It was revealed the former Australian PM had had himself appointed to 5 Ministries in secret during the pandemic, resulting in an inquiry into the circumstances and legality

Dr Fauci, the USA Lead health official during the pandemic has said he will step-down in December

The world has passed 1 million Covid-19 related deaths this year.

The Australian National Cabinet reduced the quarantine time for Covid-19 positive people from 7 to 5 days, as long as you have no symptoms.

My August 2022 blog can be found by clicking the link below

#32 August 2022 The decline of the Omicron Wave

Number of Views :742
Posted in Australia in Covid Times | Leave a comment

July 2022 Another wave of Covid-19 , it just wont let up!

July saw another wave of Covid-19 around the globe. The world recorded almost 30 million new cases of Covid-19 with almost 61 thousand deaths attributed to it.

Australia recorded almost 1.25 million new cases of Covid-19 with almost 2 thousand  deaths attributed to it. One of the highest death rates per head of population in the world!

The Russian invasion of Ukraine continued unabated, causing a global energy and food crisis which has seen inflation soar around the world. There is no sign that Russia will withdraw.

China continues to flex its military and economic muscle in the region.

The Australian Prime Minister, Anthony Albanese, announced the governments intention to hold a referendum to enshrine an indigenous voice in our constitution.

US President Biden has tested positive for Covid-19 twice in the month.

In Australia, as around the world, the airline industry is experiencing unprecedented delays and cancellations due to staff shortages due to Covid-19.

Australia has loosened the strings attached to getting the Covid-19 antiviral drugs that expedite recovery from the disease.

Australia implemented a 4th vaccine for Covid-19 for those over 30.

UK Prime Minster Boris Johnson has submitted his resignation, bowing to pressure over the scandals at 10 Downing St during Covid-19 lockdowns.

Cruising began again in Australia, and it wasn’t long before a ship reported numerous cases of Covid-19 aboard.

Rat kits are being more and more downgraded as a reliable test for the new BA.4 and BA.5 variants.

Covid-19 vaccines were approved in Australia for children from 6 months old to 5yrs.

Monkey Pox has been declared a Disease of Concern by the WHO.

UK scientists are edging closer to a single dose Covid/Flu vaccine.

AS you can see its been another action packed month.

From my data, during the month of July Australia experienced:

A rise in hospitalisation and death rate due to Covid-19, the rate of hospitalisation declined in the last week of the month

The percentage of people entering hospital that require ICU treatment is stabilising around 3%

The death rate as a result of Covid-19 continues to rise. Hard to believe we were once the envy of the world on this score.

The virus reproduction rate continues to increase to be just above 1

My July 2022 Covid-19 Diary can be found here ……

#31 July 2022 Another wave of Covid-19 washes over us.

On the bright side, we got to go away down to Mount Gambier for a week, even if the reason for us going (Granddaughter in a dance competition) didn’t materialise as she got Covid the day they were due to leave for Mount Gambier. We had an enjoyable time regardless, just a different time than we expected.

Number of Views :1446
Posted in Australia in Covid Times | Leave a comment

Mount Gambier 11 July to 16 July 2022

It’s good to be able to do an actual travel blog, maybe not involving international travel, but still we are out exploring!

Sunday 10 July 2022

We dropped Louis off at our dog sitter at 10 am and head down the coast via the Coorong.

It was a really easy drive. We stopped off in Kingston SE for a bit of a break on the way and got to Mount Gambier around 3:30pm. We called into the Blue Lake on our way in and had a look around it for a short while. The weather isn’t going to be all that good while we are here so we wanted to make the most of the sunshine we had.

Our Airbnb is a cottage set on a few acres on the edge of town (5 min drive to cbd) It’s very comfortable, nice kitchen lounge log fire and comfy bed. Continue reading

Number of Views :1496
Posted in Australia in Covid Times, Australian Holidays | Leave a comment

June 2022  The World is heading into difficult times Covid-19, War, Interest Rates, Food, Energy

A review of my June data leads to some interesting observations.

There were approximately 19,700,000 new reported cases of Covid-19 globally in June.

There were approximately 2,200,00 new reported cases of Covid-19 in Australia in June.

In South Australia there were approximately 75,700 new reported cases and 87 new deaths due to Covid-19 in June. With our daily death and hospitalisation numbers remaining fairly level.

Globally the rate of Covid-19 new reported daily infections in June consolidated in a broad range centred around the 650,000 mark, similar to that of May. But in the last 8 days of the month there were a few spikes in the data, suggesting a possible new uptrend in the number of reported infections has begun.

A similar pattern has developed in Australia with a rising trend from the May June range centered on about 27500 new daily reported infections.

I hope this is just a blip and not the start of a new wave.

Getting back to Australia, there is a rising trend in the number of new daily hospital admissions due to Covid-19 and the daily death rate appears to be in a new uptrend. See the graphs below.

In Australia the Virus Reproduction Rate (14 day Av) has started rising again from a low of around 0.5 at the start of June. This appears to confirm the possible start of a new wave.

The percentage of people hospitalised after acquiring the disease that require treatment in ICU has stabilised at around 3.5%.

While all this has been going on the War in Ukraine continues, with numerous charges of War Crimes being leveled at Russia.

The world is in uncertain times, energy prices around the world are rising and food shortages accompanied by rising food costs are also occurring globally. Interest rates are steeply rising as is inflation.

Personally the month saw 6 new cases of Covid-19 with the family across Australia, thankfully most cases were mild, K being the exception.

We had the birth of our 7th grandchild, a boy, both him and him mum are doing well.

Our dog graduated from Level 3 training at Obedience Classes, apparently he is now an obedient dog!! We have now started agility training with him, hopefully he/we will enjoy it going forward.

You can find my June 2022 blog entry by following the link below.

#30 June 2022 The Pandemic has stabilised, or has it!!

Stay safe and well out there.

Number of Views :1324
Posted in Australia in Covid Times | Leave a comment

May 2022 The New Normal is the way ahead, the World is opening and Australia is following.

Worldwide there were 19,115,384 newly reported cases of Covid-19 in the month of May

North Korea  announced they had their “first” cases of Covid-19.

China had Beijing and Shanghai in lockdown for a significant part of the month.

Australia had almost 1.4 million new reported cases.

This month ended with our 2nd youngest grandson testing positive to Covid-19.

During the month Australia gained the dubious title of the most new infections per head of population in the world, we also moved from 21st place in total number of reported Covid-19 cases to 16th.

The world seems to be getting on with things. Covid-19 deaths are way down on earlier this year, in the 100’s now rather than the 1000’s. I suspect this is due to less reporting rather than a huge actual drop in cases and deaths.

Cruising seeming to be opening all over the world, but there are still case clusters occurring onboard. We have friends in the USA who have just finished a cruise, one of them got Covid-19 onboard and they have had to isolate both onboard and when they disembarked. They knew of at least 20 others onboard who got it.

My charts are showing worldwide the number of daily cases of Covid-19 has settled into a band between 500,000 and 1,000,000 cases being reported a day, in Australia that band is between 30,000 and 70,000 per day.

In Australia our hospitalisation rate appears to have reached a plateau around 2700 people on hospital at any given day, with a stable 4% of those being in ICU, down from 8%.

The death rate in Australia appears to be in a slow rise from a low in late March around 20 per day to new peaks now of around 50+ per day.

South Australia has finished the month of May with 4 consecutive days with zero Covid-19 related deaths.

My Covid-19 Blog for May 2022 can be found by following the link below.

https://gregndeb.com/zero-hr-covid-19/29-may-2022-the-numbers-of-covid-19-reported-are-continuing-to-decline/

Number of Views :1534
Posted in 2020 COVID-19, Australia in Covid Times | Leave a comment

April 2022 Covid-19 pays our family a visit, but begins to decline Globally.

Covid-19 comes home.

It’s been a month of change.

We started the month not knowing anyone first hand who hand had Covid-19, now we have had family, friends and work colleagues come down with the disease. Thankfully all have come through it unscathed so far. It is really strange, many couples we know have had one person in the relationship get Covid-19 and the other not, even after spending isolation together.

In South Australia and broader Australia we have seen Covid-19 restrictions steadily withdrawn and life is getting back to near pre Covid-19 conditions. The strangest one for me is the dropping of mask mandates in most areas of life. I still can’t go into crowded areas without a mask on, and it seem about 20% of the population are the same.

My charts seem to indicate that April was a month of decline and stabilisation of the impact of Covid-19. The most worrying indicator is the death rate of those who get the disease, in Australia this has had a slight upward trend along with the numbers requiring ventilators.

April saw the world add another 14 million reported cases of Covid-19, just over 2.7% of the total number of cases reported since the start of the pandemic. Approximately 200,000 people lost their lives to Covid-19 worldwide.  Australia added another 135 thousand cases, just over 2% of the total number of Covid-19 cases reported in Australia since the pandemic started, and another 1252 people lost their lives due to the disease.

My graphs can be seen via the link below.

Covid-19 charts January 2022 to end april 2022

Chart analysis

The number of people in hospital in Australia due to Covid-19 appears to be reaching a peak/plateau at around 3200 on any given recent day.

The number of people in hospital with Covid-19 on ventilators is fluctuating around 150 over recent days. Representing approximately 4.6% of people in hospital with Covid-19. NSW and Victoria appear to be having ICU number rising.

The trend in the daily number of people reported as dying of Covid-19 is up, this has been in this trend since mid-March. It has not yet reached the plateau shown in hospitalisation numbers. The rise appears to be being driven by NSW and Victoria.

The Australian Virus Reproduction Rate, on my calculations, appears to have found a band in which it fluctuates, 0.5 to 1.25., with a tendency for the ratio to be under 1 for most of the recent times.

The number of new daily recorded cases reached a 3-month peak at the end of March and has been steadily trending down since then, interestingly this has occurred independent of isolated surges in the number of tests carried out.

Daily Testing Numbers v Positive Test Numbers is showing that at least 50% of people getting PCR tested are showing up positive, this is relatively independent of the number of people tested.

Globally the world has seen a relatively steep decline in the number of new reported daily Covid-19 cases. Falling from a peak of 4,519,636 new cases on 20 January 2022 to consistent figures fluctuating around 750,000 +/- 10%. These numbers are approximately the same as the peaks of the pre-Delta / Omicron variants.

Australia is still a long way from reaching its pre-Delta / Omicron variant levels. While there is a moderate down trend in the graph, it is still around 25 times the former peak numbers of approximately 1700, with recent case numbers in the order of 45,000. We have a long way to go.

The percentage of people hospitalised and in ICU has been trending down since early February, and appears to be stabilising at a little over 4%.

To see my April 2022 blog follow the link below.

#28 April 2022 Covid-19 is declining world-wide, but comes close to home

Number of Views :1198
Posted in Australia in Covid Times | Leave a comment

March 2022 Australia’s pain of opening up

Australia is firmly in a Sixth Covid-19 wave. Cases have continued to rise since the start of March from the low 20,000’s to current highs in the high 60,000’s. Our death rate seems to have plateaued at around 40 per day. Daily hospitalisations are still increasing, currently approaching 6000 per day. A good sign is that the number of people requiring a ventilator continues to show a steady state at around 100. By my figures the virus reproduction rate is sitting in a band between 0.5 and 1.35. For us to move forward this has to be consistently kept under 1.

The rest of the world appears to have found a new, higher band of continuing infection, in the order of 850,000 to 2,200,00. Many countries are reporting their highest Covid-19 case rate since the start of the pandemic, but the death rates are slowing dramatically.

The war in Ukraine continues, with Russia not making the “easy” progress they may have thought they would achieve. Talks of a peace agreement are still being made, but Russia has shown no firm signs of this.

The two charts below show the Global and Australian Daily New Covid-19 Cases.

Follow the link below to find my March 2022 Covid-19 Diary

#27 March 2022 Covid-19 Australia’s 6th Wave and a Global Steady State.

Number of Views :1431
Posted in Australia in Covid Times | Leave a comment

February 2022 Omicron and War

February 2022 Summary of what went down this month.

The world had another 60,952,275 reported cases of Covid-19, with 280706 people losing their lives to the disease.

Covid-19 came home this month to our family, friends, and neighbours, with a family member succumbing to it and losing his life, peacefully thank goodness. We also had a niece, and her family all contract the disease, as well as a couple of neighbours, thank fully all have had mild cases and have either recovered now or are well on the way to recovery.

Russia invaded Ukraine, the war started on 23 February, on the pretext of annexing pro-Russian areas of Ukraine to support the people who wanted to re-join Russia.

The invasion began with a coordinated cyber attack on critical Ukrainian infrastructure and targeted armed attacks on its military bases and airports.

The war has not gone too smoothly or as easy as Russia may have expected, with the Ukraine armed forces using the tactical knowledge of Russia gained through joint military operations.

The free world has retaliated against Russia by imposing economic sanctions on the country, it President Vladmir Putin, many politicians, Armed Forces leaders and Russian Oligarchs. Russian banks have also been isolated from the worlds payment system, essentially freezing its economy.

Russia has today put its military on nuclear standby, in response to what it calls western military actions.

The Ukrainian President has agreed to meet with Russia to discuss the situation and to try and find a resolution without more bloodshed.

On the home front in Australia, we have a state election due to be held on 19 March, and so we are in full election mode in SA. In the federal sphere an election is due to be held in the next 120 days, so the government and opposition parties are both in election mode.

Our politics and politicians all seem quite secondary with the actions in Europe putting things in perspective, we really do live in the “Lucky Country”.

 

The following charts of where Australia sits in this phase of the pandemic paints a picture of vastly improved situations across most measures. All major indices I am using are ether showing a strong downward trend or are stabilising at “acceptable” levels.

It looks like we have come through the 5th “Omicron” Wave.

The world graph following the Australian data shows the world is exiting the Omicron variant wave.

Click the link following to see my Australian data in chart form

Australian Charts to end Feb 22

and here is my chart of how the world is going with Covid-19

Life seems to be getting back to normal in the northern hemisphere of the world, with most countries drastically reducing their Covid-19 restrictions, if not removing them completely.

In the southern hemisphere a more cautious approach is being adopted. Australia has opened its borders to the world again, however, WA is still isolating itself from all on the outside.

My February 2022 Covid -19 Blog can be found here

#26 February 2022 Omicron fades away

 

Number of Views :1361
Posted in Australia in Covid Times | Leave a comment

No 25 January 2022      Omincron, the 15th letter of the Greek alphabet and most virulent form of the Coronavirus yet.

The world has gone from 286 million cases of Covid-19 to 374 million cases in a month, a 30.8% increase in Covid-19 cases in just one month!

Australia has gone from 389 thousand cases of Covid-19 to 2.541 million cases in a month, a 552% increase in Covid-19 cases in just one month! We went from a one of the most contained countries in the world to one of the most infected in just 31 days!! Australia was listed by the USA as one of a few countries with a Red Alert travel warning. But somehow, we are coping, our hospital systems haven’t crashed, although they are very stretched and our health services in general are under enormous stress.

Covid-19 made its way into our extended family, a niece and her family all got Covid, it took a family Uncle from us. It makes it real when the people you care for get it.

Here are my Covid-19 charts for the world and Australia to the end of January 2022.

World chart to end of Jan 2022

Australian chart to end of Jan 2022

For my daily diary, please follow this link for January 2022.

#25 January 2022 The month of Omicron

Number of Views :822
Posted in Australia in Covid Times | Leave a comment